Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | STET +130 LIP -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +8 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | STET -2.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -2.3 (-10.3) | 137.3 (-7.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -2.3 (-10.3) | 137.3 (-7.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -1.7 (-9.7) | 138.5 (-8.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STET -2.2 (-10.2) | 138.0 (-8.0) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | LIP 79 – 74 STET |
| Jan 9, 2026 | STET 91 – 83 LIP |
| Feb 14, 2025 | LIP 93 – 60 STET |
| Jan 27, 2024 | STET 80 – 59 LIP |
| Mar 1, 2023 | LIP 83 – 70 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 9-6 |
| Home | 7-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#246) | -4.7 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#210) | -0.53 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#198) | -0.66 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#201) | 0.488 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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