Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | STET +100 LIP +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +13 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | STET -3.7 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -2.9 (-15.9) | 156.3 (-3.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -2.2 (-15.2) | 153.5 (-0.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -2.6 (-15.6) | 155.2 (-2.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STET -2.6 (-15.6) | 156.8 (-3.8) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | LIP 79 – 74 STET |
| Jan 9, 2026 | STET 91 – 83 LIP |
| Feb 14, 2025 | LIP 93 – 60 STET |
| Jan 27, 2024 | STET 80 – 59 LIP |
| Feb 25, 2023 | LIP 98 – 91 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#166) | -0.0 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#135) | 0.17 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#140) | 0.21 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#121) | 0.512 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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