Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | STET -110 LIP +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +7 | 189 | Lost |
| Massey | STET -4.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (+38.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -4.1 (-11.1) | 152.1 (+36.9) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -2.7 (-9.7) | 148.9 (+40.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -3.8 (-10.8) | 150.3 (+38.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STET -3.6 (-10.6) | 152.3 (+36.7) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | LIP 79 – 74 STET |
| Jan 9, 2026 | STET 91 – 83 LIP |
| Feb 14, 2025 | LIP 93 – 60 STET |
| Jan 27, 2024 | STET 80 – 59 LIP |
| Mar 1, 2023 | LIP 83 – 70 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#161) | -0.5 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#120) | 0.05 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#123) | 0.07 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#106) | 0.505 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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