Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -1600 STET +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +5 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -16.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (-1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -13.4 (-8.4) | 150.3 (+2.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -16.2 (-11.2) | 152.4 (+0.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -12.0 (-7.0) | 150.9 (+2.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -12.4 (-7.4) | 151.5 (+1.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | STET 91 – 83 LIP |
| Feb 14, 2025 | LIP 93 – 60 STET |
| Jan 27, 2024 | STET 80 – 59 LIP |
| Mar 1, 2023 | LIP 83 – 70 STET |
| Feb 25, 2023 | LIP 98 – 91 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 79.9 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#162) | -13.3 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#145) | -1.35 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#146) | -1.78 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#113) | 0.422 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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