Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MORG -21.7 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.8 (-25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -17.8 (-12.8) | 161.6 (-18.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -17.5 (-12.5) | 159.3 (-16.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -17.1 (-12.1) | 160.8 (-17.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -18.3 (-13.3) | 160.9 (-17.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | DSU 75 – 70 MORG |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MORG 82 – 68 DSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORG 80 – 79 DSU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MORG 87 – 81 DSU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | DSU 84 – 82 MORG |
Game Analysis
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