Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -900 ECU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +7 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -10.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -12.1 (-5.1) | 139.0 (-14.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -9.6 (-2.6) | 137.3 (-12.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -11.7 (-4.7) | 141.4 (-16.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -11.1 (-4.1) | 140.1 (-15.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | ECU 84 – 68 MEM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MEM 74 – 70 ECU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | MEM 82 – 58 ECU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | MEM 69 – 59 ECU |
| Jan 28, 2022 | MEM 71 – 54 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-8 | 8-11 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 2-10 |
| Home | 10-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-3 | 1-4 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W4 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.7 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#56) | 1.6 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#57) | 0.82 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#53) | 1.16 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#94) | 0.526 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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