Rhonda had a house in Venice, lived on brown rice and cocaine. "88 Lines About 44 Women" - The Nails
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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68–39 on winners spread MAE 8.1 107 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb +7.5 128.5 78% 64–91 ✓
North Alabama @ Florida Gulf Coast +0.9 142.0 53% 60–86 ✓
Akron @ Kent State +4.8 151.3 70% 72–61 ✗
Maryland @ Penn State +3.5 144.7 67% 50–55 ✓
George Mason @ Dayton +6.1 135.6 75% 65–74 ✓
Youngstown State @ Robert Morris +1.2 147.8 55% 84–78 ✗
Cleveland State @ Oakland -1.0 141.7 46% 80–72 ✓
Jacksonville @ Bellarmine +9.9 138.8 85% 56–71 ✓
UL Monroe @ UT Arlington +7.7 135.8 77% 56–63 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Troy +2.5 130.5 62% 56–68 ✓
Louisiana @ Arkansas State -3.5 146.0 33% 87–95 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ South Alabama -0.8 147.2 45% 65–71 ✗
Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee -5.3 121.9 25% 65–66 ✗
Marshall @ Old Dominion -3.9 139.7 39% 81–82 ✗
UTSA @ Florida International +1.5 154.1 58% 87–80 ✗
UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge +0.7 154.7 54% 77–80 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Irvine +5.4 130.7 72% 53–70 ✓
UTEP @ UAB +11.8 137.7 85% 51–63 ✓
Lipscomb @ Stetson +2.2 137.1 61% 68–73 ✓
Western Illinois @ Omaha +1.6 153.1 58% 85–77 ✗
Wright State @ UIC -12.3 143.5 15% 72–47 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ North Texas +6.8 132.5 72% 68–63 ✗
South Dakota @ South Dakota State +5.4 154.6 74% 64–56 ✗
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State +3.4 141.2 69% 54–61 ✓
Monmouth @ Manhattan -6.5 143.0 26% 70–65 ✓
Boise State @ Nevada -4.6 145.8 31% 72–74 ✗
California Baptist @ New Mexico State +0.8 140.4 55% 85–75 ✗
Seattle U @ Utah Tech -1.4 144.8 43% 76–77 ✗
Cal Poly @ Hawai'i +13.4 131.9 89% 68–84 ✓
Iowa State @ Oklahoma +16.1 141.0 90% 72–79 ✓
Alabama @ Missouri -0.3 151.4 52% 65–68 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Miami -5.9 134.1 25% 80–76 ✓
DePaul @ Butler +3.7 130.2 68% 58–68 ✓
Seton Hall @ UConn +3.7 135.6 69% 80–73 ✗
NC State @ Boston College -1.1 150.8 48% 81–65 ✓
Toledo @ Ball State -8.2 148.3 21% 67–81 ✗
La Salle @ Fordham -7.2 126.6 25% 68–76 ✗
UMass Lowell @ New Hampshire +0.3 137.7 51% 63–74 ✓
Towson @ Charleston +3.5 137.2 69% 88–90 ✓
Western Carolina @ The Citadel +1.2 161.6 61% 63–74 ✓
Belmont @ SIU Edwardsville -12.4 147.3 14% 94–62 ✓
Kansas @ West Virginia +3.9 141.5 68% 79–91 ✓
Drake @ Valparaiso -13.5 138.7 14% 80–77 ✓
Delaware State @ Morgan State +17.8 161.6 91% 69–74 ✓
Western Michigan @ Central Michigan +2.2 142.6 61% 67–65 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Saint Louis +1.1 141.3 55% 59–70 ✓
St. John's @ Providence +1.9 148.5 58% 92–81 ✗
Evansville @ Loyola Chicago +19.6 128.5 91% 55–68 ✓
East Carolina @ Memphis +12.1 139.0 86% 59–66 ✓
Syracuse @ Clemson +1.7 134.4 61% 61–78 ✓
North Dakota @ Denver -3.5 145.9 31% 81–85 ✗
Austin Peay @ Morehead State +5.8 132.2 75% 74–75 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ North Texas +6.9 130.5 74% 55–57 ✓
UTSA @ Florida International +1.8 154.5 60% 90–47 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo +8.7 150.2 81% 64–88 ✓
Drexel @ Hofstra +2.9 139.2 68% 73–71 ✗
Montana State @ Weber State +10.1 148.3 83% 74–82 ✓
Wisconsin @ Illinois +6.3 139.3 76% 60–75 ✓
Texas @ Oklahoma State +1.0 148.6 55% 67–75 ✓
Missouri State @ Illinois State -5.6 144.2 28% 74–67 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Milwaukee +1.1 143.8 56% 79–65 ✗
McNeese @ Central Arkansas +8.2 150.9 80% 80–70 ✗
Southern Miss @ Rice +6.9 141.6 77% 68–76 ✓
Montana @ Portland State -1.5 130.7 42% 56–61 ✗
Idaho @ Eastern Washington +15.6 146.0 90% 64–90 ✓
Mississippi State @ South Carolina +1.4 144.7 63% 75–59 ✗
Texas Tech @ Kansas State -13.5 134.3 13% 73–62 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Virginia +10.6 131.1 86% 66–73 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Bradley +6.5 134.6 75% 66–74 ✓
Washington @ Oregon +12.5 148.5 88% 74–86 ✓
Air Force @ UNLV +10.6 133.1 86% 58–68 ✓
Ole Miss @ Auburn +3.0 137.3 67% 86–84 ✗
Murray State @ Eastern Kentucky +5.4 150.3 76% 76–64 ✗
Chattanooga @ East Tennessee State +6.4 138.2 76% 67–65 ✗
Northwestern @ Purdue +7.5 137.6 79% 70–75 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -1.4 134.2 39% 58–53 ✓
Jackson State @ Alcorn State -3.6 136.3 36% 74–66 ✓
Creighton @ Marquette -2.3 146.1 40% 71–68 ✓
Lipscomb @ Stetson +2.3 137.3 62% 69–61 ✗
Youngstown State @ Robert Morris +1.3 148.2 56% 70–66 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Green Bay +3.3 147.5 66% 72–79 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Detroit Mercy +7.2 151.4 79% 56–83 ✓
Cleveland State @ Oakland -0.9 143.3 43% 80–78 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ UT Martin -1.4 138.8 42% 64–66 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Southeast Missouri State -2.4 142.2 36% 66–54 ✓
Tennessee State @ Eastern Illinois +2.0 134.1 58% 72–86 ✓
Jacksonville @ Bellarmine +9.6 137.9 84% 44–63 ✓
UL Monroe @ UT Arlington +8.3 134.9 78% 52–58 ✓
Little Rock @ Texas State +3.4 127.7 66% 67–77 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Troy +2.8 130.5 62% 79–64 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ South Alabama +0.2 145.4 46% 66–70 ✓
Louisiana @ Arkansas State -3.0 148.0 34% 77–83 ✗
UTEP @ UAB +12.7 136.3 86% 60–75 ✓
Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee -4.8 121.9 26% 60–73 ✗
UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge +1.3 155.3 56% 75–63 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Lamar -15.7 134.3 13% 77–62 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama State +2.4 132.5 61% 67–73 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama A&M +19.5 147.5 90% 58–93 ✓
Indiana State @ Northern Iowa -1.3 139.6 42% 61–57 ✓
Washington State @ Oregon State +1.5 133.5 58% 66–68 ✓
UCF @ Tulsa +4.8 134.3 70% 65–58 ✗
Colorado State @ Wyoming -6.9 152.6 22% 68–59 ✓
North Carolina @ Duke +1.7 144.5 58% 91–87 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Georgia +5.9 155.1 74% 70–73 ✓
Nicholls @ Sam Houston +3.1 150.0 66% 71–78 ✓
Wofford @ Furman +6.6 147.7 74% 75–67 ✗
Nebraska @ Michigan State +6.6 143.1 76% 56–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.