Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–11 on winners spread MAE 9.8 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ohio State @ Iowa +4.3 160.2 69% 89–85 ✗
Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb +8.5 130.6 81% 53–59 ✓
Arizona @ Utah -1.1 144.8 45% 58–73 ✗
Cincinnati @ Temple +1.7 138.1 59% 63–60 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Long Island University +9.6 155.5 84% 78–70 ✗
Murray State @ Morehead State +5.3 131.1 74% 56–66 ✓
Austin Peay @ Eastern Kentucky +10.2 153.6 84% 94–79 ✗
BYU @ Portland -16.0 148.3 13% 105–60 ✓
Belmont @ Eastern Illinois -12.9 149.4 15% 89–61 ✓
Gonzaga @ Pacific -14.6 158.3 15% 76–58 ✓
Washington @ Oregon State +5.4 142.2 73% 71–91 ✓
Stanford @ California -5.3 135.0 28% 70–55 ✓
Minnesota @ Rutgers +5.4 138.4 74% 72–76 ✓
Colorado State @ Wyoming -8.9 153.9 19% 74–72 ✓
Utah State @ Fresno State -10.5 132.1 17% 69–53 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Southeast Missouri State +4.2 140.1 69% 64–68 ✓
Jacksonville State @ UT Martin -9.9 143.5 16% 82–70 ✓
Montana State @ Weber State +10.2 142.8 82% 88–96 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Idaho -13.8 143.7 13% 89–75 ✓
Montana @ Portland State -0.8 130.1 47% 70–64 ✓
Washington State @ Oregon +9.9 138.7 84% 74–71 ✗
North Dakota @ Denver -4.3 142.9 30% 85–82 ✓
UMass Lowell @ New Hampshire +0.3 136.9 53% 74–69 ✗
Southern Miss @ Rice +4.8 136.3 67% 62–88 ✓
Saint Francis @ Merrimack +2.8 138.2 65% 54–59 ✓
Wagner @ St. Francis Brooklyn +0.3 146.4 53% 84–81 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Long Island University +9.4 157.3 83% 77–62 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Green Bay +4.6 147.2 69% 80–71 ✗
Little Rock @ Texas State +3.2 128.7 65% 47–57 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Radford +8.5 137.7 82% 66–102 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Milwaukee +4.1 140.6 66% 87–73 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Detroit Mercy +6.7 152.8 77% 72–82 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.