I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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23–13 on winners spread MAE 8.8 36 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Alabama @ Florida Gulf Coast +3.6 143.6 68% 60–69 ✓
Marshall @ Old Dominion -1.8 141.9 42% 87–67 ✓
Pepperdine @ Portland -10.8 154.8 16% 91–70 ✓
Tennessee @ Kentucky -3.2 128.7 32% 82–71 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas Southern +2.6 136.8 60% 75–77 ✓
Arizona @ Colorado +6.2 144.5 74% 79–82 ✓
Massachusetts @ Rhode Island +4.8 145.1 70% 75–63 ✗
Notre Dame @ Georgia Tech +3.2 145.2 64% 80–82 ✓
Western Illinois @ Omaha +0.0 154.8 47% 75–73 ✗
Wright State @ UIC -13.1 140.6 15% 77–57 ✓
Grambling @ Southern +5.2 137.7 71% 72–69 ✗
South Dakota @ South Dakota State +5.0 148.5 71% 78–89 ✓
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State +4.7 136.5 71% 80–74 ✗
Monmouth @ Manhattan -5.8 142.3 28% 71–69 ✓
California Baptist @ New Mexico State -1.1 143.5 41% 70–97 ✗
Seattle U @ Utah Tech -0.4 144.6 45% 77–56 ✓
UCLA @ USC +6.0 141.6 72% 48–66 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Irvine +6.7 128.9 76% 62–57 ✗
Cal Poly @ Hawai'i +13.7 136.8 89% 64–81 ✓
Iowa @ Indiana -0.2 159.8 47% 65–67 ✗
Lafayette @ Loyola Maryland +0.4 144.7 46% 62–75 ✓
Cincinnati @ Tulane +0.4 135.9 53% 64–61 ✗
UMBC @ Stony Brook -1.0 130.1 42% 71–65 ✓
Towson @ Charleston +4.5 143.3 69% 53–66 ✓
Drake @ Valparaiso -12.4 143.3 14% 57–74 ✗
High Point @ Hampton +0.6 139.7 54% 72–58 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Fairfield -2.3 130.9 39% 78–63 ✓
Coppin State @ Norfolk State +7.9 150.3 78% 72–84 ✓
Evansville @ Loyola Chicago +18.5 127.7 91% 58–69 ✓
Drexel @ Hofstra +2.4 139.2 66% 74–79 ✓
Georgetown @ Villanova +11.4 144.0 87% 74–84 ✓
Missouri State @ Illinois State -5.0 143.7 27% 72–62 ✓
Temple @ Wichita State +8.8 141.3 81% 67–70 ✓
Indiana State @ Northern Iowa -2.6 135.6 38% 67–70 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Bradley +6.4 135.0 75% 69–68 ✗
Boise State @ Nevada -2.7 146.6 35% 62–73 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.