← All models
Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–3 on winners
spread MAE 9.0
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
California
@
Stanford
|
+10.9 | 135.9 | 87% | 70–76 | ✓ |
UMBC
@
Stony Brook
|
-2.0 | 130.0 | 37% | 60–48 | ✓ |
Quinnipiac
@
Fairfield
|
-3.0 | 132.2 | 35% | 70–77 | ✗ |
Eastern Kentucky
@
SIU Edwardsville
|
-7.3 | 152.2 | 24% | 78–74 | ✓ |
High Point
@
Hampton
|
-1.1 | 137.2 | 45% | 71–76 | ✗ |
Gardner-Webb
@
South Carolina Upstate
|
-5.6 | 143.0 | 29% | 69–77 | ✗ |
UNC Greensboro
@
Furman
|
+3.6 | 143.8 | 64% | 49–68 | ✓ |
St. Francis Brooklyn
@
Long Island University
|
+4.5 | 154.5 | 70% | 84–96 | ✓ |
SMU
@
East Carolina
|
-3.8 | 140.6 | 33% | 71–56 | ✓ |
North Carolina Central
@
Florida A&M
|
+1.2 | 141.6 | 53% | 50–59 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.