Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | FAIR +140 QUIN -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -5.2 (+12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -3.0 (+10.0) | 132.2 (+14.8) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -1.7 (+8.7) | 132.8 (+14.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -1.5 (+8.5) | 135.1 (+11.9) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -3.5 (+10.5) | 133.1 (+13.9) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | FAIR 85 – 79 QUIN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | QUIN 72 – 65 FAIR |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FAIR 83 – 74 QUIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | QUIN 81 – 69 FAIR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FAIR 85 – 81 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-17 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-10 |
| Home | 4-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -11.6 (#327) | -3.9 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#308) | -0.84 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#300) | -0.86 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#322) | 0.433 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 41.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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