They headed down to old El Paso; thats's where they ran into a great big hassle. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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68–39 on winners spread MAE 8.1 107 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb +7.4 128.9 77% 64–91 ✓
North Alabama @ Florida Gulf Coast +0.8 141.9 53% 60–86 ✓
Akron @ Kent State +5.1 151.5 65% 72–61 ✗
Maryland @ Penn State +3.7 143.8 73% 50–55 ✓
George Mason @ Dayton +6.8 136.4 74% 65–74 ✓
Youngstown State @ Robert Morris +1.2 148.2 53% 84–78 ✗
Cleveland State @ Oakland -0.5 143.4 46% 80–72 ✓
Jacksonville @ Bellarmine +9.5 139.0 83% 56–71 ✓
UL Monroe @ UT Arlington +8.0 135.5 77% 56–63 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Troy +2.9 131.8 61% 56–68 ✓
Louisiana @ Arkansas State -2.9 146.2 41% 87–95 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ South Alabama -1.0 147.1 46% 65–71 ✗
Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee -5.5 124.9 37% 65–66 ✗
Marshall @ Old Dominion -3.7 141.0 43% 81–82 ✗
UTSA @ Florida International +2.0 153.6 53% 87–80 ✗
UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge +0.9 152.7 56% 77–80 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Irvine +5.8 132.2 69% 53–70 ✓
UTEP @ UAB +11.9 137.8 83% 51–63 ✓
Lipscomb @ Stetson +2.2 136.4 58% 68–73 ✓
Western Illinois @ Omaha +1.4 153.9 57% 85–77 ✗
Wright State @ UIC -13.4 142.7 14% 72–47 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ North Texas +7.0 133.1 74% 68–63 ✗
South Dakota @ South Dakota State +5.1 154.5 66% 64–56 ✗
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State +3.7 142.9 67% 54–61 ✓
Monmouth @ Manhattan -5.9 144.6 19% 70–65 ✓
Boise State @ Nevada -3.7 146.9 42% 72–74 ✗
California Baptist @ New Mexico State +1.5 140.0 49% 85–75 ✗
Seattle U @ Utah Tech -1.2 145.0 57% 76–77 ✗
Cal Poly @ Hawai'i +13.6 132.4 89% 68–84 ✓
Iowa State @ Oklahoma +18.1 141.3 90% 72–79 ✓
Alabama @ Missouri +0.0 152.2 58% 65–68 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Miami -7.4 133.9 27% 80–76 ✓
DePaul @ Butler +4.2 130.6 68% 58–68 ✓
Seton Hall @ UConn +3.2 137.6 68% 80–73 ✗
NC State @ Boston College -0.9 152.5 42% 81–65 ✓
Toledo @ Ball State -8.4 151.8 24% 67–81 ✗
La Salle @ Fordham -7.1 128.2 25% 68–76 ✗
UMass Lowell @ New Hampshire +0.1 139.1 50% 63–74 ✓
Towson @ Charleston +3.3 139.0 71% 88–90 ✓
Western Carolina @ The Citadel +1.8 161.2 65% 63–74 ✓
Belmont @ SIU Edwardsville -13.5 148.4 12% 94–62 ✓
Kansas @ West Virginia +3.9 142.2 72% 79–91 ✓
Drake @ Valparaiso -13.0 141.5 14% 80–77 ✓
Delaware State @ Morgan State +18.3 160.9 91% 69–74 ✓
Western Michigan @ Central Michigan +2.4 143.0 56% 67–65 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Saint Louis +2.1 140.9 66% 59–70 ✓
St. John's @ Providence +2.1 150.0 57% 92–81 ✗
Evansville @ Loyola Chicago +21.4 129.0 90% 55–68 ✓
East Carolina @ Memphis +11.1 140.1 85% 59–66 ✓
Syracuse @ Clemson +2.0 134.6 61% 61–78 ✓
North Dakota @ Denver -3.6 148.7 37% 81–85 ✗
Austin Peay @ Morehead State +5.9 133.6 71% 74–75 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ North Texas +6.7 131.2 76% 55–57 ✓
UTSA @ Florida International +2.1 154.3 61% 90–47 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo +9.3 150.6 79% 64–88 ✓
Drexel @ Hofstra +2.7 138.5 66% 73–71 ✗
Montana State @ Weber State +9.1 146.7 81% 74–82 ✓
Wisconsin @ Illinois +6.7 138.5 79% 60–75 ✓
Texas @ Oklahoma State +0.8 149.3 57% 67–75 ✓
Missouri State @ Illinois State -4.5 144.2 29% 74–67 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Milwaukee +1.4 144.6 55% 79–65 ✗
McNeese @ Central Arkansas +8.5 151.6 73% 80–70 ✗
Southern Miss @ Rice +7.7 141.4 77% 68–76 ✓
Montana @ Portland State -1.1 130.1 50% 56–61 ✗
Idaho @ Eastern Washington +17.3 147.6 90% 64–90 ✓
Mississippi State @ South Carolina +1.3 144.7 55% 75–59 ✗
Texas Tech @ Kansas State -14.0 135.3 13% 73–62 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Virginia +11.5 132.7 84% 66–73 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Bradley +6.3 134.1 74% 66–74 ✓
Washington @ Oregon +13.1 148.8 87% 74–86 ✓
Air Force @ UNLV +11.0 133.8 86% 58–68 ✓
Ole Miss @ Auburn +3.6 138.7 66% 86–84 ✗
Murray State @ Eastern Kentucky +5.8 150.7 71% 76–64 ✗
Chattanooga @ East Tennessee State +6.7 138.8 75% 67–65 ✗
Northwestern @ Purdue +7.5 139.1 80% 70–75 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -1.5 135.7 36% 58–53 ✓
Jackson State @ Alcorn State -3.4 137.9 30% 74–66 ✓
Creighton @ Marquette -2.2 145.6 38% 71–68 ✓
Lipscomb @ Stetson +2.2 138.0 61% 69–61 ✗
Youngstown State @ Robert Morris +1.3 150.0 56% 70–66 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Green Bay +3.4 148.6 70% 72–79 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Detroit Mercy +7.0 152.5 79% 56–83 ✓
Cleveland State @ Oakland -1.0 145.5 39% 80–78 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ UT Martin -1.8 138.3 44% 64–66 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Southeast Missouri State -2.8 142.5 40% 66–54 ✓
Tennessee State @ Eastern Illinois +2.1 133.9 58% 72–86 ✓
Jacksonville @ Bellarmine +9.2 138.3 83% 44–63 ✓
UL Monroe @ UT Arlington +8.3 134.6 77% 52–58 ✓
Little Rock @ Texas State +3.3 129.4 67% 67–77 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Troy +3.3 131.4 61% 79–64 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ South Alabama -0.3 144.8 46% 66–70 ✗
Louisiana @ Arkansas State -2.7 149.4 41% 77–83 ✗
UTEP @ UAB +11.8 134.9 84% 60–75 ✓
Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee -4.5 124.1 36% 60–73 ✗
UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge +1.4 152.2 57% 75–63 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Lamar -15.2 136.1 12% 77–62 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama State +2.7 131.1 67% 67–73 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama A&M +25.6 147.1 91% 58–93 ✓
Indiana State @ Northern Iowa -1.4 138.8 39% 61–57 ✓
Washington State @ Oregon State +0.7 133.5 55% 66–68 ✓
UCF @ Tulsa +5.4 134.5 70% 65–58 ✗
Colorado State @ Wyoming -7.4 153.0 23% 68–59 ✓
North Carolina @ Duke +1.6 144.3 56% 91–87 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Georgia +6.3 154.7 73% 70–73 ✓
Nicholls @ Sam Houston +2.9 150.8 63% 71–78 ✓
Wofford @ Furman +6.8 148.2 74% 75–67 ✗
Nebraska @ Michigan State +6.9 142.4 81% 56–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.