That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–11 on winners spread MAE 9.6 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ohio State @ Iowa +5.0 160.6 57% 89–85 ✗
Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb +8.6 130.4 80% 53–59 ✓
Arizona @ Utah -1.3 145.8 48% 58–73 ✗
Cincinnati @ Temple +1.9 137.7 56% 63–60 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Long Island University +8.5 156.2 79% 78–70 ✗
Murray State @ Morehead State +5.4 132.9 72% 56–66 ✓
Austin Peay @ Eastern Kentucky +9.5 153.4 81% 94–79 ✗
BYU @ Portland -18.0 148.1 12% 105–60 ✓
Belmont @ Eastern Illinois -12.8 151.1 14% 89–61 ✓
Gonzaga @ Pacific -17.4 154.0 12% 76–58 ✓
Washington @ Oregon State +5.8 142.3 72% 71–91 ✓
Stanford @ California -5.9 135.6 31% 70–55 ✓
Minnesota @ Rutgers +6.0 139.6 79% 72–76 ✓
Colorado State @ Wyoming -9.1 153.5 21% 74–72 ✓
Utah State @ Fresno State -10.9 132.6 18% 69–53 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Southeast Missouri State +4.6 139.4 74% 64–68 ✓
Jacksonville State @ UT Martin -9.4 143.8 18% 82–70 ✓
Montana State @ Weber State +9.4 142.7 81% 88–96 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Idaho -13.6 145.0 14% 89–75 ✓
Montana @ Portland State -1.0 131.4 48% 70–64 ✓
Washington State @ Oregon +9.9 138.9 81% 74–71 ✗
North Dakota @ Denver -5.1 146.9 29% 85–82 ✓
UMass Lowell @ New Hampshire +0.4 138.6 43% 74–69 ✗
Southern Miss @ Rice +5.4 137.3 66% 62–88 ✓
Saint Francis @ Merrimack +2.6 138.2 65% 54–59 ✓
Wagner @ St. Francis Brooklyn +0.4 146.9 48% 84–81 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Long Island University +8.2 158.0 80% 77–62 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Green Bay +4.6 147.6 72% 80–71 ✗
Little Rock @ Texas State +2.8 130.3 64% 47–57 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Radford +8.3 137.6 79% 66–102 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Milwaukee +3.7 141.9 56% 87–73 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Detroit Mercy +6.6 153.4 80% 72–82 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.