What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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10–14 on winners spread MAE 8.5 24 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
LSU @ Alabama +8.7 158.7 83% 60–78 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Pittsburgh -2.6 139.4 47% 72–83 ✗
Kentucky @ Missouri +7.1 139.9 79% 70–75 ✓
Saint Louis @ La Salle -9.1 145.4 23% 75–82 ✗
Seton Hall @ Providence +1.5 146.4 50% 60–43 ✗
VCU @ Rhode Island +1.6 136.0 54% 63–62 ✗
VMI @ Wofford +6.5 149.2 76% 84–80 ✗
Chattanooga @ Western Carolina +0.2 148.3 45% 74–67 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Mercer +1.4 146.5 54% 70–64 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ The Citadel -5.0 156.0 25% 85–66 ✓
Western Michigan @ Bowling Green +10.9 143.9 82% 76–70 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Lamar +1.0 139.5 41% 67–58 ✗
Tulane @ Wichita State +9.7 139.2 83% 67–75 ✓
UCF @ Memphis +9.2 142.6 84% 61–75 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -11.5 144.5 16% 84–75 ✓
Villanova @ St. John's -3.1 151.0 34% 59–70 ✗
Virginia @ NC State -4.4 135.8 33% 64–57 ✓
Georgetown @ Creighton +11.5 145.4 83% 86–79 ✗
SMU @ Tulsa +0.3 134.7 49% 65–63 ✗
Oklahoma State @ TCU -4.0 143.8 36% 78–81 ✗
Tennessee State @ SIU Edwardsville +3.3 134.0 66% 60–68 ✓
Wagner @ St. Francis Brooklyn +1.4 148.0 55% 74–67 ✗
Saint Francis @ Merrimack +2.3 141.0 61% 62–68 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Radford +8.7 138.5 85% 61–63 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.