Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–12 on winners spread MAE 8.8 36 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Alabama @ Florida Gulf Coast +4.1 143.5 66% 60–69 ✓
Marshall @ Old Dominion -2.4 142.5 40% 87–67 ✓
Pepperdine @ Portland -11.1 153.8 15% 91–70 ✓
Tennessee @ Kentucky -2.9 128.8 37% 82–71 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas Southern +2.6 137.0 65% 75–77 ✓
Arizona @ Colorado +6.1 142.9 76% 79–82 ✓
Massachusetts @ Rhode Island +5.0 148.1 66% 75–63 ✗
Notre Dame @ Georgia Tech +3.5 144.8 68% 80–82 ✓
Western Illinois @ Omaha -0.4 155.0 48% 75–73 ✓
Wright State @ UIC -13.9 141.2 13% 77–57 ✓
Grambling @ Southern +5.0 137.0 68% 72–69 ✗
South Dakota @ South Dakota State +5.1 150.1 72% 78–89 ✓
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State +4.6 137.8 62% 80–74 ✗
Monmouth @ Manhattan -5.7 143.4 20% 71–69 ✓
California Baptist @ New Mexico State -0.5 146.1 44% 70–97 ✗
Seattle U @ Utah Tech -0.3 145.2 46% 77–56 ✓
UCLA @ USC +5.5 139.7 74% 48–66 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Irvine +6.7 128.1 73% 62–57 ✗
Cal Poly @ Hawai'i +14.0 135.8 89% 64–81 ✓
Iowa @ Indiana -1.0 157.6 50% 65–67 ✗
Lafayette @ Loyola Maryland -0.2 145.6 53% 62–75 ✗
Cincinnati @ Tulane +0.1 135.5 50% 64–61 ✗
UMBC @ Stony Brook -1.4 131.4 35% 71–65 ✓
Towson @ Charleston +4.7 143.0 70% 53–66 ✓
Drake @ Valparaiso -12.0 144.1 17% 57–74 ✗
High Point @ Hampton -0.9 140.6 45% 72–58 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Fairfield -3.0 133.4 38% 78–63 ✓
Coppin State @ Norfolk State +7.4 151.1 78% 72–84 ✓
Evansville @ Loyola Chicago +20.4 128.0 90% 58–69 ✓
Drexel @ Hofstra +1.3 139.6 66% 74–79 ✓
Georgetown @ Villanova +11.3 143.2 85% 74–84 ✓
Missouri State @ Illinois State -4.3 143.1 30% 72–62 ✓
Temple @ Wichita State +8.7 142.2 82% 67–70 ✓
Indiana State @ Northern Iowa -2.2 136.2 44% 67–70 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Bradley +5.9 134.0 73% 69–68 ✗
Boise State @ Nevada -3.2 146.8 41% 62–73 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.