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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–3 on winners
spread MAE 9.0
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
California
@
Stanford
|
+11.2 | 135.0 | 86% | 70–76 | ✓ |
UMBC
@
Stony Brook
|
-2.4 | 130.2 | 33% | 60–48 | ✓ |
Quinnipiac
@
Fairfield
|
-3.5 | 133.1 | 40% | 70–77 | ✗ |
Eastern Kentucky
@
SIU Edwardsville
|
-7.0 | 152.2 | 20% | 78–74 | ✓ |
High Point
@
Hampton
|
-0.5 | 137.4 | 43% | 71–76 | ✗ |
Gardner-Webb
@
South Carolina Upstate
|
-6.0 | 142.7 | 31% | 69–77 | ✗ |
UNC Greensboro
@
Furman
|
+3.8 | 143.5 | 63% | 49–68 | ✓ |
St. Francis Brooklyn
@
Long Island University
|
+4.0 | 154.2 | 72% | 84–96 | ✓ |
SMU
@
East Carolina
|
-3.7 | 139.0 | 35% | 71–56 | ✓ |
North Carolina Central
@
Florida A&M
|
+0.9 | 141.6 | 55% | 50–59 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.