And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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71–35 on winners spread MAE 9.0 107 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
High Point @ Gardner-Webb +7.4 139.5 74% 59–55 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Cal Poly -3.3 137.8 33% 70–76 ✗
Green Bay @ Cleveland State +6.1 138.1 73% 68–74 ✓
Stetson @ Florida Gulf Coast +1.7 132.4 58% 63–64 ✓
North Alabama @ North Florida -0.1 142.1 37% 82–78 ✓
Liberty @ Jacksonville -10.6 129.9 19% 59–54 ✓
App State @ Troy -2.0 133.1 39% 62–71 ✗
Ohio @ Buffalo +4.0 152.9 60% 76–75 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis -8.7 143.0 18% 72–51 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Campbell +8.5 136.5 84% 58–59 ✓
Oakland @ Purdue Fort Wayne +2.6 155.7 52% 81–66 ✗
UL Monroe @ Little Rock +10.0 137.0 82% 62–66 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona -2.5 132.3 43% 64–68 ✗
Manhattan @ Saint Peter's +8.5 126.8 79% 55–59 ✓
North Dakota State @ Kansas City -0.9 122.9 43% 71–67 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota +10.0 142.1 85% 59–91 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Valley +5.4 140.8 69% 60–73 ✓
Western Illinois @ North Dakota +3.4 141.1 59% 81–83 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern -2.8 137.2 36% 79–62 ✓
UT Arlington @ Arkansas State -0.5 143.1 50% 75–83 ✗
Iowa @ Illinois +0.9 159.8 64% 75–80 ✓
Robert Morris @ Wright State +17.7 147.8 90% 70–79 ✓
New Mexico State @ Grand Canyon — — — 62–70 —
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +10.8 148.9 85% 74–89 ✓
Boise State @ Colorado State -0.4 143.9 49% 85–77 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Bakersfield +10.0 130.7 77% 90–84 ✗
UC Irvine @ Hawai'i +0.4 132.3 44% 53–51 ✗
Alabama @ Oklahoma +1.7 150.7 59% 61–66 ✓
Tulsa @ East Carolina -0.4 129.2 51% 77–68 ✓
Clemson @ Duke +1.8 130.2 57% 53–79 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Navy +6.8 133.3 74% 52–70 ✓
Texas A&M @ Kansas State -0.1 125.2 35% 68–61 ✓
Providence @ Georgetown -1.5 142.5 44% 72–73 ✗
Siena @ Marist -3.2 128.4 39% 54–55 ✗
La Salle @ VCU +11.4 135.1 86% 62–73 ✓
Furman @ Western Carolina -7.7 153.5 21% 75–69 ✓
William & Mary @ Towson +2.5 137.6 53% 84–74 ✗
Hofstra @ UNC Wilmington +0.8 143.7 59% 82–73 ✗
Texas Tech @ LSU +0.6 148.3 58% 76–71 ✗
Florida @ West Virginia +4.6 145.0 65% 85–80 ✗
TCU @ Missouri +9.7 137.3 85% 98–102 ✓
Florida A&M @ North Carolina A&T -0.7 143.9 56% 58–70 ✗
George Mason @ St. Bonaventure +10.3 132.1 81% 67–84 ✓
New Hampshire @ Binghamton -5.1 134.3 30% 44–65 ✗
Hartford @ Stony Brook -0.2 130.0 46% 59–57 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Mount St. Mary's +4.9 130.0 67% 61–58 ✗
Miami @ Wake Forest +4.9 138.3 75% 54–66 ✓
Colgate @ Holy Cross -10.8 157.8 17% 74–63 ✓
Bucknell @ Lehigh +1.0 143.2 55% 84–70 ✗
Morehead State @ Tennessee Tech -7.6 133.7 19% 74–55 ✓
Western Michigan @ Miami (OH) +7.9 137.5 81% 56–65 ✓
Ball State @ Akron +5.0 148.0 72% 42–74 ✓
Elon @ Delaware +3.4 126.5 68% 43–66 ✓
Utah @ Colorado +10.1 136.3 85% 77–74 ✗
Wisconsin @ Penn State +1.1 137.1 60% 71–81 ✓
Southern Miss @ Louisiana Tech +9.0 134.3 84% 62–65 ✓
Morgan State @ Coppin State -3.7 158.3 35% 79–76 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Incarnate Word -11.4 132.7 16% 75–67 ✓
Milwaukee @ IU Indianapolis -2.6 142.1 43% 83–76 ✓
Weber State @ Idaho -13.3 143.8 14% 81–62 ✓
Villanova @ Seton Hall -2.3 141.8 37% 80–72 ✓
Auburn @ Baylor +14.6 154.8 87% 72–84 ✓
Florida State @ Georgia Tech -1.5 145.4 44% 65–76 ✗
Monmouth @ Niagara -2.3 142.4 39% 74–83 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois +1.9 137.7 59% 74–62 ✗
UCF @ Wichita State +4.3 135.0 68% 88–93 ✓
Long Island University @ St. Francis Brooklyn +0.3 150.6 49% 102–88 ✗
Rhode Island @ Dayton +0.4 135.9 54% 56–67 ✓
Longwood @ Presbyterian -2.3 120.5 36% 54–66 ✗
Bellarmine @ Kennesaw State -8.0 132.8 17% 84–79 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern -2.8 136.9 37% 58–61 ✗
Florida International @ Charlotte +6.6 138.2 79% 65–68 ✓
Arkansas @ Oklahoma State +1.6 153.8 58% 77–81 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Prairie View A&M +4.1 138.2 75% 57–79 ✓
Mercer @ Wofford +2.8 146.4 60% 69–72 ✓
The Citadel @ East Tennessee State +6.9 156.4 78% 84–112 ✓
Central Michigan @ Kent State +14.8 158.3 87% 76–83 ✓
Delaware State @ Norfolk State +12.7 153.4 87% 66–94 ✓
Southern @ Alcorn State -2.6 140.4 33% 76–59 ✓
High Point @ Gardner-Webb +7.3 137.4 74% 72–69 ✗
California @ Arizona +10.8 137.6 87% 50–71 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ SE Louisiana +2.3 142.5 55% 73–79 ✓
Robert Morris @ Wright State +17.7 148.3 90% 56–86 ✓
UIC @ Northern Kentucky +3.1 137.6 72% 67–69 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Youngstown State +0.9 144.5 49% 77–72 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ UT Martin -2.9 138.2 32% 76–60 ✓
Tennessee State @ Austin Peay +6.5 135.4 75% 56–71 ✓
North Alabama @ North Florida -0.1 143.7 37% 72–82 ✗
Northwestern State @ Central Arkansas +3.0 155.4 48% 81–77 ✗
UT Arlington @ Arkansas State -0.5 144.7 51% 65–64 ✓
UL Monroe @ Little Rock +9.9 136.8 81% 49–65 ✓
Louisiana @ Texas State +3.2 130.4 52% 74–73 ✗
App State @ Troy -1.8 131.2 40% 59–65 ✗
Toledo @ Bowling Green -1.5 155.0 51% 84–66 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Campbell +8.7 135.6 83% 67–75 ✓
Xavier @ Butler -3.6 133.7 31% 68–55 ✓
McNeese @ Lamar +4.4 145.5 70% 56–64 ✓
Virginia @ Virginia Tech -0.9 124.9 57% 51–65 ✗
Kansas @ Tennessee +5.1 128.7 73% 61–80 ✓
Air Force @ San José State -0.9 132.6 56% 62–75 ✗
Ole Miss @ Georgia -1.9 138.6 45% 61–71 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State +3.5 136.7 65% 44–75 ✓
Liberty @ Jacksonville -10.7 128.9 19% 64–58 ✓
Pacific @ BYU +10.1 136.8 83% 87–95 ✓
Iowa State @ Mississippi State +9.6 137.0 83% 56–95 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Jackson State +20.3 143.1 89% 56–106 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Grambling +9.7 135.7 84% 71–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.