Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | WOF -150 MER +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +3 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -3.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -3.8 (-0.8) | 146.5 (-5.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -2.8 (+0.2) | 146.4 (-5.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -3.5 (-0.5) | 147.6 (-6.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -3.9 (-0.9) | 147.8 (-6.8) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | WOF 80 – 77 MER |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MER 109 – 97 WOF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | WOF 77 – 66 MER |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WOF 69 – 49 MER |
| Feb 15, 2024 | WOF 73 – 60 MER |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | MER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-9 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 12-5 | 8-9 |
| Home | 9-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#108) | 3.1 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#96) | 0.91 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#102) | 1.15 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#71) | 0.550 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | MER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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