Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | PSU +180 WIS -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -0.6 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -1.2 (+8.8) | 140.5 (+11.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -1.1 (+8.9) | 137.1 (+14.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -1.3 (+8.7) | 141.6 (+10.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -0.9 (+9.1) | 141.8 (+10.2) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | WIS 98 – 71 PSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PSU 86 – 75 WIS |
| Jan 17, 2024 | PSU 87 – 83 WIS |
| Feb 9, 2023 | WIS 79 – 74 PSU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | WIS 63 – 60 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#39) | 14.8 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#61) | 2.81 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#41) | 4.04 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#76) | 0.598 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 13.0% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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