Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -120 STET +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +1 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -0.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -1.1 (-0.1) | 135.3 (-8.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -1.7 (-0.7) | 132.4 (-5.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -0.7 (+0.3) | 134.8 (-7.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -0.8 (+0.2) | 135.7 (-8.7) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | STET 78 – 63 FGCU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FGCU 78 – 76 STET |
| Feb 21, 2025 | FGCU 83 – 80 STET |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FGCU 82 – 56 STET |
| Feb 17, 2024 | STET 61 – 60 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-8 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 4-5 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 2-2 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#282) | -5.8 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#215) | -0.63 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#226) | -0.63 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#273) | 0.464 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 13.9% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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