Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | MRST +275 SIE -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +1 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -5.6 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -3.4 (+4.4) | 130.5 (-21.5) | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -3.2 (+4.2) | 128.4 (-19.4) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -3.5 (+4.5) | 130.2 (-21.2) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -3.8 (+4.8) | 131.2 (-22.2) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SIE 67 – 63 MRST |
| Jan 23, 2026 | SIE 69 – 50 MRST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MRST 65 – 64 SIE |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MRST 72 – 67 SIE |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRST 67 – 51 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-9 | 12-5 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-4 |
| Home | 6-3 | 6-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#269) | 2.0 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#214) | 1.53 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#232) | 1.55 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#210) | 0.581 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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