Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | CLE -175 GB +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +6 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -7.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -5.3 (+0.7) | 139.5 (+2.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -6.1 (-0.1) | 138.1 (+3.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -5.3 (+0.7) | 141.5 (+0.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -5.7 (+0.3) | 139.7 (+2.3) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CLE 89 – 82 GB |
| Jan 16, 2026 | GB 88 – 73 CLE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CLE 81 – 66 GB |
| Dec 7, 2024 | CLE 83 – 61 GB |
| Feb 29, 2024 | GB 69 – 61 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 8-17 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-2 | 6-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#201) | -6.5 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#124) | -1.47 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#138) | -1.58 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#38) | 0.432 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.5% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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