Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | SFBK +120 LIU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +14 | 190 | Lost |
| Massey | LIU -0.2 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (+37.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFBK -0.8 (-14.8) | 146.2 (+43.8) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFBK -0.3 (-14.3) | 150.6 (+39.4) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -0.7 (-13.3) | 148.9 (+41.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -0.0 (-14.0) | 148.0 (+42.0) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2023 | SFBK 71 – 59 LIU |
| Jan 17, 2023 | SFBK 73 – 66 LIU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | LIU 74 – 69 SFBK |
| Jan 17, 2022 | LIU 80 – 65 SFBK |
| Feb 8, 2021 | LIU 96 – 84 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-10 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 4-6 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-4 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#212) | -0.2 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#146) | 0.12 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#161) | 0.43 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#146) | 0.484 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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