Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +15 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | LIU -0.9 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -2.8 (-12.2) | 139.4 (+5.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -2.1 (-12.9) | 140.2 (+4.8) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -2.4 (-12.6) | 141.1 (+3.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -1.7 (-13.3) | 141.2 (+3.8) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2023 | SFBK 71 – 59 LIU |
| Jan 17, 2023 | SFBK 73 – 66 LIU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | LIU 74 – 69 SFBK |
| Feb 8, 2021 | LIU 96 – 84 SFBK |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LIU 102 – 88 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 3-9 | 12-1 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#320) | -4.8 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.00 (#346) | -1.36 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.69 (#343) | -1.55 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.371 (#343) | 0.440 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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