Betting Lines
| Spread | SFBK -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | SFBK -300 LIU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +12 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | SFBK -11.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFBK -8.9 (+3.1) | 139.2 (-9.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFBK -7.2 (+4.8) | 136.7 (-6.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -8.5 (+3.5) | 137.7 (-7.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -8.7 (+3.3) | 137.9 (-7.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2023 | SFBK 73 – 66 LIU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | LIU 74 – 69 SFBK |
| Jan 17, 2022 | LIU 80 – 65 SFBK |
| Feb 8, 2021 | LIU 96 – 84 SFBK |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LIU 102 – 88 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 3-26 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 1-15 |
| Home | 10-5 | 2-10 |
| Away | 4-11 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#351) | -20.9 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#330) | -3.88 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#339) | -4.95 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#318) | 0.373 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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