Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | LIU -320 SFBK +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -7.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -6.0 (-1.0) | 146.3 (-3.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -5.8 (-0.8) | 144.9 (-1.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -5.4 (-0.4) | 145.9 (-2.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -5.4 (-0.4) | 146.0 (-3.0) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2023 | SFBK 71 – 59 LIU |
| Jan 17, 2023 | SFBK 73 – 66 LIU |
| Jan 17, 2022 | LIU 80 – 65 SFBK |
| Feb 8, 2021 | LIU 96 – 84 SFBK |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LIU 102 – 88 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-1 | 3-9 |
| Away | 4-13 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#261) | -10.0 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#295) | -2.75 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#278) | -3.30 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#250) | 0.384 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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