Betting Lines
| Spread | SFBK -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | LIU +140 SFBK -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | SFBK -4.3 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -5.3 (-1.7) | 135.9 (+3.1) | 23% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SFBK -4.0 (-3.0) | 137.1 (+1.9) | 29% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | SFBK -4.4 (-2.6) | 138.6 (+0.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -5.0 (-2.0) | 137.5 (+1.5) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2023 | SFBK 71 – 59 LIU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | LIU 74 – 69 SFBK |
| Jan 17, 2022 | LIU 80 – 65 SFBK |
| Feb 8, 2021 | LIU 96 – 84 SFBK |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LIU 102 – 88 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-26 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 7-9 |
| Home | 2-10 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-14 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L8 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -21.4 (#363) | -13.3 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.41 (#362) | -2.07 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.92 (#363) | -2.85 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.352 (#355) | 0.411 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.0% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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