Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +50 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -28.4 (+21.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (+20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -19.8 (+30.2) | 139.2 (+22.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -20.3 (+29.7) | 143.1 (+18.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -27.8 (+22.2) | 142.2 (+19.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -26.1 (+23.9) | 140.0 (+22.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | JKST 85 – 77 MVSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | JKST 97 – 81 MVSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | JKST 66 – 62 MVSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | JKST 92 – 44 MVSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | JKST 68 – 67 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-6 | 2-22 |
| Conference | 11-0 | 2-13 |
| Home | 6-0 | 1-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 56.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 87.4 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#311) | -36.2 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#263) | -4.41 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#277) | -6.94 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#244) | 0.342 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.0% | 33.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 27.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.52 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.1% | 41.9% |
| TOV% | 24.5% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 16.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 10.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 59.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 60.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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