Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | SEMO -138 EIU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +31 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -3.0 (+28.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-27.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -2.1 (+28.9) | 140.1 (-21.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -3.5 (+27.5) | 136.7 (-17.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -2.6 (+28.4) | 139.8 (-20.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -2.2 (+28.8) | 139.4 (-20.4) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | SEMO 77 – 59 EIU |
| Jan 2, 2026 | SEMO 68 – 59 EIU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | EIU 73 – 58 SEMO |
| Dec 20, 2024 | SEMO 79 – 72 EIU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | EIU 75 – 57 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 9-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 6-14 |
| Home | 7-6 | 5-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#290) | -8.8 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#305) | -2.05 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#301) | -2.89 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#309) | 0.394 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 80.5% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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