Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -450 CAL +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +21 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -14.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -12.2 (+8.8) | 143.1 (-22.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -10.8 (+10.2) | 137.6 (-16.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -13.1 (+7.9) | 142.0 (-21.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -12.8 (+8.2) | 143.5 (-22.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2024 | ARIZ 91 – 65 CAL |
| Dec 30, 2023 | ARIZ 100 – 81 CAL |
| Feb 10, 2023 | ARIZ 85 – 62 CAL |
| Dec 4, 2022 | ARIZ 81 – 68 CAL |
| Mar 5, 2022 | ARIZ 89 – 61 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-9 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 3-17 |
| Home | 12-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-5 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#32) | 0.4 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#57) | -0.11 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#58) | -0.02 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#72) | 0.476 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.5% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.