Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -150 KU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +19 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -5.1 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -5.8 (+13.2) | 130.5 (+10.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -5.1 (+13.9) | 128.7 (+12.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -5.6 (+13.4) | 128.4 (+12.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -6.9 (+12.1) | 127.4 (+13.6) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2025 | KU 81 – 76 TENN |
| Nov 22, 2023 | KU 69 – 60 TENN |
| Nov 26, 2022 | TENN 64 – 50 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.5 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 16.0 (#11) | 13.5 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.53 (#27) | 3.23 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.19 (#30) | 3.89 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#51) | 0.632 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.6% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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