Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -340 KU +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +5 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -1.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -2.2 (-7.2) | 137.0 (+20.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | TENN -3.9 (-8.9) | 137.1 (+19.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | TENN -3.6 (-8.6) | 137.9 (+19.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -1.3 (-6.3) | 137.3 (+19.7) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2023 | KU 69 – 60 TENN |
| Nov 26, 2022 | TENN 64 – 50 KU |
| Jan 30, 2021 | TENN 80 – 61 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 17.3 (#13) | 15.5 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.65 (#8) | 1.97 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.22 (#10) | 3.13 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.652 (#19) | 0.609 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 44.7 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 15.4 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 48.2% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.4% | 42.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 12.5% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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