Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | NAVY -150 L-MD +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAVY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +18 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | NAVY -6.1 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (-18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -7.9 (+10.1) | 142.1 (-20.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -6.8 (+11.2) | 133.3 (-11.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -7.9 (+10.1) | 142.8 (-20.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -7.7 (+10.3) | 142.2 (-20.2) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | NAVY 78 – 51 L-MD |
| Jan 31, 2026 | NAVY 87 – 71 L-MD |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NAVY 81 – 68 L-MD |
| Jan 11, 2025 | L-MD 75 – 74 NAVY |
| Mar 6, 2024 | NAVY 64 – 48 L-MD |
Game Analysis
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