Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | TXST -188 UL +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +1 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | TXST -2.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (+16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -3.3 (-4.3) | 130.7 (+16.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -3.2 (-4.2) | 130.4 (+16.6) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -3.8 (-4.8) | 133.4 (+13.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -2.7 (-3.7) | 132.6 (+14.4) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UL 67 – 54 TXST |
| Jan 15, 2026 | TXST 59 – 54 UL |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UL 70 – 61 TXST |
| Jan 23, 2025 | TXST 89 – 74 UL |
| Jan 28, 2024 | UL 66 – 46 TXST |
Game Analysis
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