Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | NORF -1200 DSU +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +28 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -15.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -13.1 (+14.9) | 152.3 (+7.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -12.7 (+15.3) | 153.4 (+6.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -14.4 (+13.6) | 155.2 (+4.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -13.8 (+14.2) | 153.0 (+7.0) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NORF 75 – 58 DSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NORF 66 – 64 DSU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NORF 96 – 84 DSU |
| Jan 6, 2025 | NORF 73 – 64 DSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DSU 85 – 71 NORF |
Game Analysis
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