Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UGA +163 MISS -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +10 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -2.8 (+12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -1.3 (+11.3) | 139.3 (-7.3) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -1.9 (+11.9) | 138.6 (-6.6) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -1.7 (+11.7) | 139.6 (-7.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -1.4 (+11.4) | 138.7 (-6.7) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | MISS 76 – 72 UGA |
| Jan 15, 2026 | MISS 97 – 95 UGA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MISS 63 – 51 UGA |
| Mar 6, 2024 | UGA 69 – 66 MISS |
| Feb 8, 2023 | MISS 78 – 74 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-12 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 63.6 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#114) | 9.0 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#116) | 0.79 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#118) | 1.51 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#151) | 0.521 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 24.7% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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