Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | LSU +170 TTU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -0.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -0.6 (-5.6) | 148.3 (-1.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -1.4 (-6.4) | 152.9 (-5.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -1.4 (-6.4) | 153.3 (-6.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -1.8 (-6.8) | 154.4 (-7.4) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | TTU 82 – 58 LSU |
| Jan 28, 2023 | TTU 76 – 68 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-10 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 9-8 |
| Home | 11-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.8 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 63.2 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#31) | 15.6 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#48) | 2.62 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#45) | 3.65 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#21) | 0.568 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 25.3% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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