Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -225 LSU +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +24 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -3.9 (+27.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -1.2 (+25.2) | 150.3 (-10.3) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -0.6 (+24.6) | 150.4 (-10.4) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -1.9 (+25.9) | 147.4 (-7.4) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -1.3 (+25.3) | 149.0 (-9.0) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2023 | TTU 76 – 68 LSU |
| Jan 30, 2021 | TTU 76 – 71 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-8 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#35) | 16.9 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#46) | 2.75 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.80 (#57) | 3.91 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#23) | 0.611 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 52.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 43.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 58.5% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 36.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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