Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -110 DETM +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +5 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | DETM -1.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -0.7 (-4.3) | 149.2 (-0.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -0.9 (-5.9) | 144.5 (+4.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -0.8 (-4.2) | 149.4 (-0.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -0.4 (-4.6) | 150.6 (-1.6) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | DETM 76 – 70 YSU |
| Dec 29, 2025 | DETM 73 – 68 YSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | YSU 87 – 72 DETM |
| Dec 29, 2024 | YSU 73 – 64 DETM |
| Feb 28, 2024 | YSU 69 – 55 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 12-10 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#281) | -3.3 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#275) | -1.16 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#271) | -1.09 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#267) | 0.424 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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