Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | KSU +130 TA&M -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +7 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -2.1 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -1.8 (-5.2) | 129.9 (-0.9) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -0.1 (-6.9) | 125.2 (+3.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -0.6 (-6.4) | 128.5 (+0.5) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -0.6 (-6.4) | 130.1 (-1.1) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 8-10 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 2-8 |
| Home | 6-12 | 6-4 |
| Away | 2-7 | 2-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.6 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 66.9 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#224) | 1.1 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#187) | 0.80 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#205) | 0.78 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#184) | 0.497 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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