Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -700 PAC +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +8 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -14.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+49.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -11.9 (-3.9) | 135.7 (+46.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -10.1 (-2.1) | 136.8 (+45.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -12.0 (-4.0) | 140.9 (+41.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -12.1 (-4.1) | 134.7 (+47.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2025 | BYU 93 – 57 PAC |
| Feb 5, 2023 | BYU 81 – 66 PAC |
| Dec 30, 2022 | BYU 69 – 49 PAC |
| Jan 30, 2022 | PAC 76 – 73 BYU |
| Jan 7, 2022 | BYU 73 – 51 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-7 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 6-7 |
| Home | 11-2 | 6-2 |
| Away | 7-2 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#44) | -0.5 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#32) | 1.09 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.01 (#36) | 1.01 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.614 (#23) | 0.604 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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