Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | HAW +136 UCI -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +2 | 104 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -1.1 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-39.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -0.4 (-1.6) | 139.7 (-35.7) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -0.4 (-2.4) | 132.3 (-28.3) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -0.0 (-2.0) | 137.4 (-33.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -0.7 (-1.3) | 140.3 (-36.3) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | HAW 71 – 64 UCI |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UCI 87 – 76 HAW |
| Jan 11, 2026 | HAW 67 – 66 UCI |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UCI 66 – 49 HAW |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UCI 71 – 55 HAW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-10 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-4 |
| Home | 7-5 | 10-1 |
| Away | 4-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 64.1 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#156) | 4.0 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#218) | 0.75 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#200) | 0.90 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#229) | 0.534 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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