Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | CSU +150 BOIS -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +8 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | CSU -1.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -2.0 (-10.0) | 144.4 (+17.6) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -0.4 (-7.6) | 143.9 (+18.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -1.7 (-9.7) | 145.5 (+16.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -2.3 (-10.3) | 144.2 (+17.8) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BOIS 78 – 67 CSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BOIS 79 – 73 CSU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CSU 69 – 56 BOIS |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CSU 83 – 73 BOIS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CSU 75 – 72 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-8 | 19-9 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-1 | 11-1 |
| Away | 6-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#52) | 12.0 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#31) | 2.96 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#47) | 3.38 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.640 (#9) | 0.639 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 20.5% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 79.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.4% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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