Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | CP +210 CSUN -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +6 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -3.3 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -2.6 (+8.6) | 143.6 (+2.4) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -3.3 (+9.3) | 137.8 (+8.2) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -3.2 (+9.2) | 143.3 (+2.7) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -2.6 (+8.6) | 144.1 (+1.9) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | CSUN 97 – 96 CP |
| Jan 9, 2026 | CSUN 95 – 90 CP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | CSUN 89 – 85 CP |
| Dec 8, 2024 | CSUN 102 – 91 CP |
| Feb 9, 2024 | CSUN 78 – 65 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-20 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 5-9 |
| Home | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Away | 0-11 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.8 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -15.1 (#338) | -9.3 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#319) | -0.58 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.19 (#322) | -1.06 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.361 (#334) | 0.437 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.7% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.8% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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