Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -250 ELON +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +23 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -4.5 (+18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -4.0 (+19.0) | 131.5 (-22.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -3.4 (+19.6) | 126.5 (-17.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -4.1 (+18.9) | 129.5 (-20.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -4.4 (+18.6) | 131.9 (-22.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2025 | DEL 79 – 77 ELON |
| Feb 16, 2024 | ELON 73 – 67 DEL |
| Feb 26, 2023 | DEL 70 – 54 ELON |
| Dec 31, 2022 | DEL 57 – 52 ELON |
| Feb 18, 2022 | DEL 71 – 62 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-8 | 10-9 |
| Conference | 5-4 | 4-7 |
| Home | 6-3 | 4-2 |
| Away | 1-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#229) | -5.9 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#247) | -0.79 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#233) | -1.22 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#283) | 0.443 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 80.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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