Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | WVU -175 FLA +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +5 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | WVU -2.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (+17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -4.7 (-9.7) | 147.5 (+17.5) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -4.6 (-9.6) | 145.0 (+20.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -5.1 (-10.1) | 146.7 (+18.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -4.5 (-9.5) | 147.8 (+17.2) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2022 | WVU 84 – 55 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-10 | 15-10 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 9-7 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-3 |
| Away | 7-2 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#24) | 13.3 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.15 (#11) | 2.01 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.98 (#14) | 2.72 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.657 (#5) | 0.607 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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