Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | GT +160 FSU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +11 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | FSU -3.7 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -1.3 (+12.3) | 149.5 (-8.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -1.5 (+12.5) | 145.4 (-4.4) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -0.2 (+11.2) | 150.0 (-9.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -0.8 (+11.8) | 150.3 (-9.3) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FSU 80 – 71 GT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | FSU 91 – 78 GT |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GT 85 – 76 FSU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | FSU 82 – 71 GT |
| Mar 7, 2023 | GT 61 – 60 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-9 | 18-7 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 11-4 |
| Home | 11-3 | 12-1 |
| Away | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#61) | 15.3 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#85) | 2.98 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#71) | 3.80 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#129) | 0.626 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.