Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | DUKE -200 CLEM +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +26 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -0.3 (+26.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -0.7 (+25.3) | 132.9 (-0.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -1.8 (+24.2) | 130.2 (+1.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -1.8 (+24.2) | 133.2 (-1.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -1.6 (+24.4) | 133.5 (-1.5) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | DUKE 73 – 61 CLEM |
| Feb 14, 2026 | DUKE 67 – 54 CLEM |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLEM 77 – 71 DUKE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DUKE 72 – 71 CLEM |
| Jan 14, 2023 | CLEM 72 – 64 DUKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUKE | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-11 | 16-8 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-1 |
| Away | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 61.9 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#82) | 9.5 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#94) | 2.76 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#84) | 3.57 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#126) | 0.633 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUKE | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.