Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | GRAM -600 UAPB +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +3 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -14.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -11.0 (-8.0) | 135.4 (+9.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -9.7 (-6.7) | 135.7 (+9.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -8.8 (-5.8) | 136.6 (+8.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -10.1 (-7.1) | 135.1 (+9.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UAPB 67 – 64 GRAM |
| Jan 28, 2025 | GRAM 81 – 77 UAPB |
| Jan 30, 2024 | UAPB 86 – 70 GRAM |
| Jan 24, 2023 | GRAM 77 – 70 UAPB |
| Jan 25, 2022 | GRAM 76 – 65 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-12 | 4-21 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 3-12 |
| Home | 6-4 | 2-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 62.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#301) | -20.9 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#298) | -2.41 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.60 (#311) | -4.01 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#290) | 0.385 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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