Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -265 UAPB +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAPB +3 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -7.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -4.9 (-7.9) | 143.2 (-12.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -5.9 (-8.9) | 144.6 (-13.6) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -5.6 (-8.6) | 146.2 (-15.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -5.2 (-8.2) | 143.6 (-12.6) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2025 | GRAM 81 – 77 UAPB |
| Jan 30, 2024 | UAPB 86 – 70 GRAM |
| Jan 24, 2023 | GRAM 77 – 70 UAPB |
| Jan 25, 2022 | GRAM 76 – 65 UAPB |
| Jan 30, 2021 | GRAM 74 – 71 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-13 | 6-14 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#272) | -11.7 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#244) | -1.12 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#262) | -1.86 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#243) | 0.465 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 33.2% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 36.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.